Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019728 0.021707 0.023694 0.025833 0.028065 0.030323 0.032774
2025-05-25 0.015475 0.018544 0.021750 0.025324 0.029174 0.033178 0.037636
2025-06-01 0.013030 0.016697 0.020645 0.025157 0.030123 0.035381 0.041327
2025-06-08 0.011040 0.015086 0.019566 0.024800 0.030664 0.036965 0.044180
2025-06-15 0.009657 0.014006 0.018945 0.024825 0.031514 0.038785 0.047194
2025-06-22 0.008260 0.012776 0.018043 0.024434 0.031811 0.039921 0.049386
2025-06-29 0.006929 0.011507 0.017000 0.023797 0.031757 0.040603 0.051017
2025-07-06 0.005591 0.010107 0.015706 0.022785 0.031203 0.040664 0.051899
2025-07-13 0.005043 0.009685 0.015572 0.023120 0.032185 0.042446 0.054697
2025-07-20 0.004350 0.009003 0.015066 0.022969 0.032565 0.043513 0.056661
2025-07-27 0.003728 0.008361 0.014570 0.022795 0.032891 0.044494 0.058509
2025-08-03 0.003479 0.008236 0.014732 0.023426 0.034169 0.046573 0.061605
2025-08-10 0.002962 0.007701 0.014376 0.023459 0.034803 0.047992 0.064060
2025-08-17 0.002334 0.006924 0.013664 0.023032 0.034882 0.048781 0.065817
2025-08-24 0.001874 0.006350 0.013186 0.022870 0.035260 0.049899 0.067936
2025-08-31 0.001435 0.005729 0.012597 0.022530 0.035391 0.050703 0.069671
2025-09-07 0.001143 0.005329 0.012300 0.022554 0.035961 0.052018 0.071994
2025-09-14 0.000819 0.004775 0.011729 0.022181 0.036009 0.052690 0.073546
2025-09-21 0.000519 0.004160 0.011013 0.021575 0.035734 0.052952 0.074596
2025-09-28 0.000252 0.003450 0.010075 0.020613 0.034968 0.052591 0.074885
2025-10-05 0.000179 0.003295 0.010046 0.020931 0.035858 0.054252 0.077583
2025-10-12 0.000089 0.002977 0.009708 0.020787 0.036131 0.055146 0.079354
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.002673 0.009367 0.020622 0.036364 0.055981 0.081047